Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.004706 0.005209 0.005731 0.006310 0.006935 0.007588 0.008321
2025-01-19 0.003884 0.004598 0.005376 0.006283 0.007309 0.008428 0.009737
2025-01-26 0.003331 0.004150 0.005077 0.006197 0.007506 0.008978 0.010750
2025-02-02 0.002956 0.003846 0.004887 0.006182 0.007736 0.009528 0.011736
2025-02-09 0.002645 0.003581 0.004707 0.006145 0.007913 0.009995 0.012610
2025-02-16 0.002477 0.003471 0.004697 0.006297 0.008304 0.010710 0.013782
2025-02-23 0.002224 0.003228 0.004500 0.006197 0.008369 0.011019 0.014456
2025-03-02 0.002050 0.003074 0.004401 0.006208 0.008562 0.011478 0.015314
2025-03-09 0.001975 0.003045 0.004459 0.006418 0.009007 0.012257 0.016579
2025-03-16 0.001858 0.002948 0.004419 0.006491 0.009271 0.012806 0.017561
2025-03-23 0.001779 0.002897 0.004435 0.006635 0.009628 0.013475 0.018704
2025-03-30 0.001721 0.002873 0.004484 0.006823 0.010042 0.014225 0.019961
2025-04-06 0.001555 0.002681 0.004290 0.006671 0.010000 0.014381 0.020460
2025-04-13 0.001441 0.002559 0.004190 0.006643 0.010123 0.014757 0.021253
2025-04-20 0.001320 0.002416 0.004052 0.006553 0.010153 0.015003 0.021871
2025-04-27 0.001229 0.002316 0.003969 0.006537 0.010281 0.015381 0.022669
2025-05-04 0.001140 0.002212 0.003875 0.006499 0.010374 0.015708 0.023400
2025-05-11 0.001106 0.002196 0.003914 0.006658 0.010751 0.016433 0.024683
2025-05-18 0.001014 0.002076 0.003782 0.006553 0.010741 0.016615 0.025219
2025-05-25 0.000954 0.002007 0.003729 0.006565 0.010898 0.017032 0.026085
2025-06-01 0.000942 0.002021 0.003810 0.006784 0.011367 0.017897 0.027588
2025-06-08 0.000902 0.001981 0.003799 0.006860 0.011622 0.018460 0.028673
2025-06-15 0.000878 0.001970 0.003837 0.007011 0.011992 0.019191 0.030004